Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000931 0.001064 0.001197 0.001340 0.001490 0.001640 0.001803
2026-02-01 0.000648 0.000850 0.001061 0.001297 0.001550 0.001810 0.002098
2026-02-08 0.000435 0.000684 0.000960 0.001278 0.001629 0.001998 0.002413
2026-02-15 0.000279 0.000558 0.000887 0.001282 0.001727 0.002205 0.002748
2026-02-22 0.000169 0.000466 0.000842 0.001309 0.001847 0.002433 0.003105
2026-03-01 0.000074 0.000364 0.000772 0.001299 0.001920 0.002605 0.003399
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000271 0.000698 0.001276 0.001974 0.002752 0.003662
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000209 0.000656 0.001287 0.002061 0.002934 0.003960
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000147 0.000602 0.001276 0.002120 0.003080 0.004217
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000106 0.000570 0.001289 0.002203 0.003252 0.004499
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000071 0.000538 0.001298 0.002279 0.003413 0.004767
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000035 0.000491 0.001283 0.002322 0.003533 0.004987
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000001 0.000405 0.001215 0.002309 0.003599 0.005159
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000349 0.001186 0.002344 0.003725 0.005402
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000308 0.001176 0.002404 0.003880 0.005680
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000281 0.001185 0.002487 0.004062 0.005991
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001215 0.002598 0.004278 0.006339
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000234 0.001208 0.002658 0.004430 0.006613
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000197 0.001188 0.002698 0.004558 0.006858
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000178 0.001199 0.002779 0.004734 0.007157
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000151 0.001190 0.002831 0.004873 0.007412
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000136 0.001203 0.002912 0.005047 0.007706
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000121 0.001212 0.002986 0.005212 0.007988